Mountain goat pen and ink drawing by Laura Friis.
Aging Experience,
Accuracy, & Precision

Home | Preparing Teeth |Shipping Teeth |Prices | Scheduling | Canadian Clients | Site Map
 

 

About Us

Black Bear Reproductive Histories

Cementum Age Analysis

Experience, Accuracy, & Precision

FAQ

For Hunters & Outfitters

Legal Evidence Uses

Publications

Tetracycline Biomarker Analysis

Wildlife Artist Laura Friis

What's New?

Experience
Accuracy
Precision
Photomicrographs of record age animals

Aging Experience

Matson's experience level varies among different mammal species. We currently process approximately 80,000 teeth annually. The trend is a steady increase in the quantity of teeth processed annually. Last tabulated through September, 2012 the count of teeth aged in our laboratory was 1,809,525 broken down by species as follows:

Species

Jan 1978 thru Sept
2012

Oldest
(yr)
to
Current
Date
From
Badger
1,276
19
Washington
Bear, black
525,490
35
Idaho
Bear, Brown (Grizzly)

53,847

39
Alaska
Bison
3,548
22
N Territories
Boar, wild
56
11
Spain
Bobcat
175,075
23
New Mexico
Caribou
41,892
22
Alaska
Coyote
18,479
15
Colorado
Deer, black-tailed
41,185
22
Oregon
Deer, mule
107,403
20
Washington
Deer, roe
1,879
15
Belgium
Deer, sika
3,682
18
Japan
Deer, white-tailed
221,250
19
North Carolina
Elk
157,704
25
Washington
Deer, red
3,258
20
Spain
Fisher
12,191
9
-Manitoba
Fox
22,195
-
-
Fox, gray
-
13
California
Fox, red
-
16
Sweden
Fox, silver
-
10
Labrador
Goat, mountain
20,616
18
British Columbia
Lion, mountain
48,339
22
Montana
Lynx
15,426
18
Switzerland
Marten
61,310
16
Alaska
Mink
11,565
10
France
Moose
122,089
22
New Brunswick
Muskox
1020
17
N Territories
Otter, river
32,057
18
New Brunswick
Otter, sea
14,852
20
Alaska
Pronghorn
14,345
17
North Dakota
Raccoon
115,873
19
Maryland
Seal
7,599
42
Ontario
Sheep, mountain
3,013
17
British Columbia
Skunk, striped
4,373
12
West Virginia
Weasel, stoat
713
7
New Zealand
Wolf
6,357
15
N Territories
Wolverine
4,596
13
N Territories
Other species
20,325
-
-
TOTAL
1,895,308
   


Top of page

Accuracy

To encourage continuing accuracy evaluation, Matson's processes all teeth from known age animals without charge, providing the results can be shared in our periodic reports. Although we continue to collect accuracy and precision data, a thorough tabluation has not been made since 1998. We expect new data to differ very little from those presented here.

Known age material is not available to fully evaluate accuracy in most species. Exceptions are Alaska Brown Bear and Rocky Mountain Elk.

Number
Sample
Aged correctly
Error
+ or - 1 yr
Error more
than 1 yr
Average
age
To end of 1996
77
Alaska Brn Bear
52
22
3
4
52
Rocky Mt Elk
51
1
0
4
477
Various 1975-95
331
103
24
--
606
to end 1996
434
126
27
--
1997
7
Montana mule deer
6
1
0
4
13
Montana elk
12
1
0
5
9
Illinois wt deer
9
0
0
1.7
3
Sea otter*
0
3
0
9
*Three were analyzed "blind" from the same known-age sea otter. The known age was 9 years. The cementum ages for the 3 teeth were 8A(8-9), 8A(8-9), and 10A(9-10).
1998
4
Montana elk
4
0
0
10
1
Montana mule deer
1
0
0
10
67
Michigan wt deer
50
16
1
4
10
Minnesota wt deer
9
1
0
4
6
Illinois wt deer
6
0
0
2

Species with the most distinct cementum annuli, occurring in the most regular pattern are expected to be the most accurately aged. An example of a species with distinct, regular annuli is the Rocky Mountain Elk. Bears have distinct annuli, but the pattern produced in successive years is irregular, complicating cementum aging. Mountain lion have the least distinct annuli of any species with which Matson's is experienced, and are expected to be the least accurately aged. The following groupings reflect expected cementum aging accuracy on the basis of cementum characteristics.

    • High accuracy (95%) = Annuli very distinct, pattern very regular
    • Moderate (80-90%) = Annuli and pattern somewhat distinct and regular
    • Low (70-75%) = Annuli indistinct, pattern irregular

    High accuracy Moderate Low
    Badger *Bear Mountain lion
    Fisher .Bison Sea otter
    Fox *Black-tailed deer  
    Goat *Bobcat  
    Lynx .Caribou  
      .Coyote  
      *Elk  
      .Marten  
      .Mink  
      .Moose  
      *Mule deer  
      .Muskox  
      .Pronghorn  
      .Raccoon  
      .River otter  
      .Sheep  
      .Skunk  
      .Weasel  
      *White-tailed deer  
      .Wolf  
     

    .Wolverine

     

     
    *Populations are variable, some having cementum annulus characteristics expected to yield high accuracy (e.g. Rocky Mountain Elk, northern deer populations) and others to yield moderate accuracy (southern and game farm fed whitetail deer, southwestern mule deer, coastal elk).

Note: Supplementally fed animals have cementum annuli that are characteristically more complex and irregular than wild populations. These characteristics may lower the reliability of age analysis. See additional information in the Accuracy section of Private Hunter, Outfitter, Hunting Club, & Game Farm Clients.

Top of Page

Precision

To encourage continuing precision evaluation, Matson's encourages biologists to send "blind" duplicates (paired teeth from the same animal processed without the pairs being identified until after aging). We will process a number of blind duplicates up to 10% of the total sample size, not to exceed 50 teeth. For example, in a sample of 100 teeth 10 blind duplicates would be processed without charge. The resulting precision will be shared on this site and in other publications of the lab. We continue to collect precision data but have not comprehensively tabuated them since 1998. Ongoing evaluations show precision continuing at levels ovserved in the past.

In the absence of known age teeth, precision measurements using blind pairs provide useful information because differing results for a pair are proof of error. Clearly, however, results that agree for a pair are not proof of correctness. Results of precision tests with blind duplicates follow (note, from the groupings given above, that accuracy for these species is expected to be moderate or low because of cementum characteristics).

    Years
    Species
    n
    Agree
    +-1
    +-1+
    1991-95 Various
    414
    196
    149
    67
    1995-96 Mt lion
    72
    37
    25
    10
    1996 Mt lion
    6
    6
    0
    0
    1996 Wolf
    32
    21
    10
    1
    1996 Caribou
    14
    7
    6
    1
    1997 Black bear
    4
    4
    0
    0
    1997 Moose
    11
    7
    2
    2
    1997 Mt lion
    13
    7
    3
    3
    1998 Marten PM1
    95
    64
    25
    6
    1998 Moose
    51
    36
    8
    6
    1998 Grizzly
    24
    20
    2
    2
    1998 WT deer
    18
    12
    4
    2
    1998 Wolf
    6
    5
    1
    0
    1998 Caribou
    7
    6
    1
    0
    All -
    767
    428
    236
    100-

Precision of Matson’s Lab Age Analysis Technicians

Technicians with more than a year’s experience at our lab can have an opportunity to participate in our in-house training program for age analysis. Species technicians may age are: Black bear, brown bear, elk, whitetail deer, mule deer, raccoon, bobcat, fisher, and marten. Gary Matson checks 10% of all samples aged by technicians. See "Precision of Matson's Lab Age Analysis Technicians"


GENERAL CEMENTUM AGE ACCURACY/PRECISION STATEMENT

Cementum aging accuracy can be expected to vary not only among different species and populations, but also among individuals in the same population. However, the evidence cited above indicates that most species should be aged with an accuracy of 70%, and 90% within 1 year of the correct age. For species with accuracy expected to be low because of indistinct annuli and/or irregular pattern of annulus deposition, 50% should be aged correctly and 85% within 1 year of the correct age.

Top of page

Photomicrographs:

16 year old red fox. Submitted by J-O Helldin.

From J-O Helldin; Swedish red fox; aged 3-10-04 as 16A (15-17)

Return to top

    Photomicrograph of typical pronghorn. Potomicrograph of  record North Dakota pronghorn.

    Matson’s Lab recently processed and analyzed a North Dakota pronghorn tooth that is the oldest aged in this laboratory. The age of 17 years eclipsed the prior record of 15 years set by an Oregon pronghorn tooth and equaled by one from New Mexico. Most pronghorn harvested are younger than 5 years (photo at left). The record tooth on the right has a thick cementum layer, and not all the annuli are visible in the photo. The first annulus indicates the age of 2 years, because the tooth erupts at the age of 1. The first annulus is formed during the second winter of life. There are 16 annuli in the record tooth.

    From Jesse Kolar; North Dakota pronghorn; aged 4-7-05 as 17A (photo at right)

Return to top

 

 

 

 

MAIL:
Matson's Laboratory LLC
PO Box 308
Milltown MT 59851

COURIER (FedEx):
Matson's Laboratory LLC
8140 Flagler Road

Missoula MT 59802

Phone/Fax (406)258-6286 | Email: ittw@montana.com

If you have questions or comments about this site, please contact the Webmaster.

Home | Preparing Teeth |Shipping Teeth |Prices | Scheduling | Canadian Clients | Site Map